MUNDIAL·26

Round of 32 · Thursday, July 2 · San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area · 68,827 in the stands

kickoff 17:00 local · 22°C · 66% humidity

USA

45 Folarin BALOGUN (pen)

82 Malik TILLMAN (pen)

2:0

tap a player for their match file

USA4-3-3
Bosnia and Herzegovina5-3-2
Matt FREESE7.5Sergino DEST7.0Chris RICHARDS7.6Antonee ROBINSON7.5Tim REAM6.8Alex FREEMAN6.9Tyler ADAMS6.6Weston McKENNIE6.8Malik TILLMAN7.9Christian PULISIC6.7Folarin BALOGUN6.4Nikola VASILJ6.2Tarik MUHAREMOVIC6.9Sead KOLASINAC6.1Amar DEDIC6.0Nikola KATIC6.0Stjepan RADELJIC5.6Armin GIGOVIC6.4Ivan SUNJIC6.0Ermedin DEMIROVIC6.6Edin DZEKO6.5Kerim ALAJBEGOVIC6.2
from the bench

match pulse — xG per 5 minutes · goals · cards

4590105101USABIH

goals — hover the strip for every shot and card, with names

  • 45Balogun0.21 xG
  • 82Tillman0.09 xG
USA 0:0 BIH0'kickoff
4' Pulisic — xG 0.09 · Blocked10' Demirović — xG 0.04 · Saved15' Balogun — xG 0.09 · Missed42' Balogun — xG 0.06 · Missed45' Balogun — xG 0.21 · Goal45 + 8' Balogun — xG 0.21 · Post56' Katic — xG 0.02 · Missed66' Demirović — xG 0.05 · Saved68' Bajraktarević — xG 0.02 · Saved74' Dedic — xG 0.02 · Blocked77' Alajbegović — xG 0.03 · Blocked79' Tillman — xG 0.10 · Blocked82' Tillman — xG 0.09 · Goal90' Memic — xG 0.02 · Blocked90 + 2' Alajbegović — xG 0.03 · Missed90 + 6' Freeman — xG 0.04 · Missed90 + 8' Mahmic — xG 0.01 · Missed90 + 9' Mahmic — xG 0.03 · Missed

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The xG race — cumulative expected goals, minute by minute

USA 0:0 BIH
0.5015304560759045' Balogun — GOAL82' Tillman — GOAL0.890.27

On paper vs as played — formation sheet vs heatmap reality

USA 4-3-3 attack →, ← BIH 5-3-2 attack. The teamsheet, as announced.

24Matt FREESEMatt FREESE2Sergino DESTSergino DEST3Chris RICHARDSChris RICHARDS5Antonee ROBINSONAntonee ROBINSON13Tim REAMTim REAM16Alex FREEMANAlex FREEMAN4Tyler ADAMSTyler ADAMS8Weston McKENNIEWeston McKENNIE17Malik TILLMANMalik TILLMAN10Christian PULISICChristian PULISIC20Folarin BALOGUNFolarin BALOGUN1Nikola VASILJNikola VASILJ4Tarik MUHAREMOVICTarik MUHAREMOVIC5Sead KOLASINACSead KOLASINAC7Amar DEDICAmar DEDIC18Nikola KATICNikola KATIC21Stjepan RADELJICStjepan RADELJIC8Armin GIGOVICArmin GIGOVIC14Ivan SUNJICIvan SUNJIC10Ermedin DEMIROVICErmedin DEMIROVIC11Edin DZEKOEdin DZEKO19Kerim ALAJBEGOVICKerim ALAJBEGOVIC

The duel — team data, FIFA tracking included

44%
Possession
48%
0.80
Expected goals
0.21
48
Threat
52
8
Shots
10
2
On target
3
362
Passes completed
381
43
Forced turnovers
32
16.2s
Ball recovery time
8.8s
5.48
High-press phases
2.37
13
Fouls committed
6
3
Offsides
0
117 km
Distance covered
117 km
33.8 km/h
Top speed
32.7 km/h

Territory — where each team lived

Every player's heatmap, minutes-weighted and stacked per team. USA attack →, Bosnia and Herzegovina attack. Brighter is more presence; where the colors meet is the contested ground.

How it happened

  1. 45Folarin BALOGUN (USA) scores!!
  2. 51Ermin MAHMIC (in) comes off the bench to replace Edin DZEKO (out) (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
  3. 51Esmir BAJRAKTAREVIC (in) comes off the bench to replace Armin GIGOVIC (out) (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
  4. 51Benjamin TAHIROVIC (in) comes off the bench to replace Ivan SUNJIC (out) (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
  5. 64Folarin BALOGUN (USA) is sent off!
  6. 75Amar MEMIC (in) comes off the bench to replace Nikola KATIC (out) (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
  7. 75Haris TABAKOVIC (in) comes off the bench to replace Sead KOLASINAC (out) (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
  8. 80Sergej BARBAREZ (Bosnia and Herzegovina) is booked by the referee.
  9. 80Stjepan RADELJIC (Bosnia and Herzegovina) is booked by the referee.
  10. 82Malik TILLMAN (USA) scores!!
  11. 87Sebastian BERHALTER (in) comes off the bench to replace Sergino DEST (out) (USA)
  12. 87Ricardo PEPI (in) comes off the bench to replace Christian PULISIC (out) (USA)
  13. 90+5Giovanni REYNA (in) comes off the bench to replace Weston McKENNIE (out) (USA)

The morning-after column · AI-written from the match data

USA's Press Defeats Bosnia Despite Red Card and Thin Margins

The United States suffocated Bosnia and Herzegovina through systematic high-press intensity, winning 43 forced turnovers while maintaining a 16.2-second ball-recovery time. Bosnia dominated possession at 48%, yet USA's five-and-a-half high-press phases overwhelmed their visitors' ability to build attacks. A goal arrived on the half-time whistle; when Folarin Balogun received a red card at 64 minutes, logic suggested Bosnia might exploit the man advantage. Instead, USA's defensive discipline—anchored by Chris Richards (7.6) and orchestrated by Malik Tillman (7.9)—held firm until a second goal sealed the tie.

Bosnia's ten shots generated only 0.21 expected goals, a chasm compared to USA's 0.8. The visitors squandered a 0.21 xG chance that struck the post at 45+8 minutes; had it gone in, the narrative shifts. Tarik Muharemovic (6.9) and Ermedin Demirovic (6.6) worked tirelessly, but Bosnia's 2.4 high-press phases revealed they rarely seized the initiative. USA, despite generating lower xG than might justify two goals, converted clinical finishing into victory. The margin—clean sheet, a red card survived—belonged to a team that imposed its system and made Bosnia live inside it.

USA converted 0.8 xG into 2-0 while reduced to ten men from the 64th minute; Bosnia's 0.21 xG from 48 percent possession and 10 shots remains the match's starkest judgment.

64

Balogun's dismissal invited chaos, but USA's press weathered the storm to claim the Round of 32.

What USA needed

Press dominance and defensive coherence converted 0.8 xG into a commanding win.

  • 5.5 high-press phases forced 43 turnovers; your front-foot aggression suffocated Bosnia's build-up play.
  • 16.2-second recovery time held even after Balogun's 64th-minute red; Bosnia's 8.8s could not exploit the gap.
  • Malik Tillman (7.9) and Chris Richards (7.6) anchored the system; without their positioning, Bosnia's possession becomes dangerous.

What Bosnia and Herzegovina needed

Possession without cutting edge: 48% ownership and 10 shots converted to nothing.

  • 0.21 xG from 10 attempts reveals wastefulness; the 45+8' post-strike was your only genuine opportunity squandered.
  • 2.4 high-press phases surrendered initiative; USA's press allowed no transition rhythm, no attacking momentum.
  • 10-man USA proved more compact than 11-man Bosnia; after Balogun's 64' red, you created less, not more.