MUNDIAL·26

First Stage · Group D · Saturday, June 20 · San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area · 68,827 in the stands

kickoff 20:00 local · 21°C · 60% humidity

Türkiye

0:1

Paraguay

2′ Matias GALARZA (pen)

tap a player for their match file

Türkiye4-2-3-1
Paraguay4-4-2
Ugurcan CAKIR6.4Merih DEMIRAL7.1Abdulkerim BARDAKCI7.4Mert MULDUR7.5Ferdi KADIOGLU7.2Hakan CALHANOGLU6.8Ismail YUKSEK6.8Kerem AKTURKOGLU6.6Arda GULER7.6Kenan YILDIZ7.8Yunus AKGUN6.4Orlando GILL7.7Omar ALDERETE7.6Juan Jose CACERES7.2Junior ALONSO6.8Gustavo GOMEZ7.8Diego GOMEZ6.7Miguel ALMIRON5.5Andres CUBAS7.0Matias GALARZA7.2Julio ENCISO7.9Isidro PITTA6.0
from the bench

match pulse — xG per 5 minutes · goals · cards

45′90′TURPAR

goals — hover the strip for every shot and card, with names

  • 2′Galarza0.03 xG
TUR 0:0 PAR0'kickoff
2' Galarza — xG 0.03 · Goal11' Alderete — xG 0.01 · Missed11' Gomez — xG 0.02 · Missed14' Güler — xG 0.19 · Missed15' Yıldız — xG 0.04 · Blocked21' Çalhanoğlu — xG 0.01 · Blocked25' Güler — xG 0.02 · Blocked30' Yıldız — xG 0.04 · Saved35' Muldur — xG 0.06 · Blocked36' Yıldız — xG 0.02 · Missed37' Caceres — xG 0.05 · Saved45' Çalhanoğlu — xG 0.03 · Blocked47' Demiral — xG 0.02 · Saved48' Yıldız — xG 0.03 · Missed45 + 6' Yüksek — xG 0.05 · Missed45 + 8' Yüksek — xG 0.04 · Missed45 + 9' Bardakci — xG 0.02 · Blocked45 + 10' Çalhanoğlu — xG 0.02 · Blocked57' Çalhanoğlu — xG 0.15 · Missed59' Demiral — xG 0.02 · Saved60' Enciso — xG 0.09 · Missed62' Gul — xG 0.15 · Saved62' Yıldız — xG 0.04 · Missed65' Demiral — xG 0.02 · Missed72' Yilmaz — xG 0.02 · Missed75' Muldur — xG 0.08 · Blocked76' Çalhanoğlu — xG 0.02 · Blocked78' Muldur — xG 0.06 · Missed80' Demiral — xG 0.19 · Missed82' Uzun — xG 0.05 · Missed86' Güler — xG 0.04 · Blocked89' Gomez — xG 0.05 · Blocked89' Uzun — xG 0.17 · Saved89' Gul — xG 0.44 · Missed90' Galarza — xG 0.06 · Blocked90 + 6' Yıldız — xG 0.05 · Blocked90 + 7' Uzun — xG 0.07 · Blocked90 + 7' Demiral — xG 0.08 · Missed90 + 9' Çalhanoğlu — xG 0.03 · Missed

▶ Watch every shot in 3D⟲ Replay the match

The xG race — cumulative expected goals, minute by minute

TUR 0:0 PAR
1.02.00′15′30′45′60′75′90′2' Galarza — GOAL2.270.31

On paper vs as played — formation sheet vs heatmap reality

TUR 4-2-3-1 attack →, ← PAR 4-4-2 attack. The teamsheet, as announced.

23Ugurcan CAKIRUgurcan CAKIR3Merih DEMIRALMerih DEMIRAL14Abdulkerim BARDAKCIAbdulkerim BARDAKCI18Mert MULDURMert MULDUR20Ferdi KADIOGLUFerdi KADIOGLU10Hakan CALHANOGLUHakan CALHANOGLU16Ismail YUKSEKIsmail YUKSEK7Kerem AKTURKOGLUKerem AKTURKOGLU8Arda GULERArda GULER11Kenan YILDIZKenan YILDIZ19Yunus AKGUNYunus AKGUN12Orlando GILLOrlando GILL3Omar ALDERETEOmar ALDERETE4Juan Jose CACERESJuan Jose CACERES6Junior ALONSOJunior ALONSO15Gustavo GOMEZGustavo GOMEZ8Diego GOMEZDiego GOMEZ10Miguel ALMIRONMiguel ALMIRON14Andres CUBASAndres CUBAS23Matias GALARZAMatias GALARZA19Julio ENCISOJulio ENCISO25Isidro PITTAIsidro PITTA

The duel — team data, FIFA tracking included

68%
Possession
19%
2.13
Expected goals
0.36
84
Threat
16
32
Shots
7
5
On target
2
594
Passes completed
92
41
Forced turnovers
50
7.1s
Ball recovery time
18.4s
2.18
High-press phases
1.38
15
Fouls committed
14
2
Offsides
3
123 km
Distance covered
117 km
32.7 km/h
Top speed
33.9 km/h

Territory — where each team lived

Every player's heatmap, minutes-weighted and stacked per team. Türkiye attack →, ← Paraguay attack. Brighter is more presence; where the colors meet is the contested ground.

How it happened

  1. 2′Matias GALARZA (Paraguay) scores!!
  2. 4′Matias GALARZA (Paraguay) is booked by the referee.
  3. 37′Carlos GONZALEZ (Paraguay) is booked by the referee.
  4. 45+3′Miguel ALMIRON (Paraguay) is sent off!
  5. ′Before the second half begins Baris Alper YILMAZ (in) comes off the bench to replace Kerem AKTURKOGLU (out) (Türkiye)
  6. ′Before the second half begins Damian BOBADILLA (in) comes off the bench to replace Isidro PITTA (out) (Paraguay)
  7. 60′Can UZUN (in) comes off the bench to replace Ismail YUKSEK (out) (Türkiye)
  8. 60′Deniz GUL (in) comes off the bench to replace Yunus AKGUN (out) (Türkiye)
  9. 63′Vincenzo MONTELLA (Türkiye) is booked by the referee.
  10. 67′Gustavo VELAZQUEZ (in) comes off the bench to replace Diego GOMEZ (out) (Paraguay)
  11. 71′Eren ELMALI (in) comes off the bench to replace Ferdi KADIOGLU (out) (Türkiye)
  12. 71′Eren ELMALI (Türkiye) is booked by the referee.
  13. 81′Alexandro MAIDANA (in) comes off the bench to replace Juan Jose CACERES (out) (Paraguay)
  14. 86′Orkun KOKCU (in) comes off the bench to replace Abdulkerim BARDAKCI (out) (Türkiye)
  15. 90+1′Gabriel AVALOS (in) comes off the bench to replace Julio ENCISO (out) (Paraguay)
  16. 90+1′Jose CANALE (in) comes off the bench to replace Matias GALARZA (out) (Paraguay)

The morning-after column · AI-written from the match data

Paraguay's Two-Minute Coup Withstands Türkiye's Onslaught

Türkiye controlled this match from the third minute onward. Paraguay scored in the second—a flash of clinical ruthlessness that stunned the San Francisco crowd—and then retreated into a defensive shell. The home side pressed forward relentlessly, accumulating 32 shots and 68% possession, but Paraguay's shape held firm. The arrival of a red card for Paraguay at 45+3 should have turned this decisively in Türkiye's favor, yet even with ten men, they would not break through.

Expected goals exposed the gulf: Türkiye's 2.13 against Paraguay's 0.36. Yet Paraguay's goalkeeper and defensive unit earned every plaudit, denying Türkiye multiple clear-cut chances across ninety minutes, including one worth 0.44 xG late in the game. Julio Enciso's 7.9 rating embodied Paraguay's attacking threat, while their defensive discipline—reflected in an 18.4-second ball recovery time—strangled Türkiye's rhythm. Türkiye's own 7.1-second recovery pace could not compensate for a lack of clinical finishing in a match that will haunt their campaign.

Türkiye's 32 shots and 2.13 expected goals could not overcome Paraguay's one lethal intervention and ten-man discipline.

2′

Paraguay's second-minute goal from 0.03 xG set tone for Türkiye's labored afternoon of plenty and little to show.

What Türkiye needed

Dominance without efficiency was their undoing.

  • Missed 0.44 xG chance in 89th minute—the one that would have forced Paraguay into genuine distress.
  • 32 shots and 2.13 xG revealed poor conversion efficiency—the real deficit was in the final third.
  • Conceding in second minute forfeited control of match narrative and tempo from the start.

What Paraguay needed

A smash-and-grab that survived both good fortune and a numerical disadvantage.

  • Julio Enciso's 7.9 rating delivered: one clinical intervention in a match of few chances.
  • Played final 45 minutes with ten men yet conceded nothing—defensive discipline won the day.
  • 0.03 xG goal was fortunate, but fortune rewarded bravery and a composed defensive shape.